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Dark Green: Firm commitments from incumbent: BT (10M), Belgacom, Australian NBN, Swisscom,  Austria, Bezeq Israel, Chunghwa Taiwan, Telus Canada, Telekom South Africa, SK Korea, (U.S.) AT&T, Century, Frontier, Windstream, Belgium, Omantel

Mid Green: Smaller carriers in Germany, Norway, Finland, Japan

Light Green: Incumbent likely:  France, Germany, 

calix stock 230Testing in a major telco lab. The new Sckipio chip allows daisy-chaining 24 port boards for up to 96 ports. (Other approaches require an external vectoring controller.) Calix has wasted no time developing a 48 port DSLAM, showing this week at BBWF.

The new Calix/Sckipio DSLAM also supports "up to 2 gigabits," although it best to think of that as 1.5 gigabits. The cDTA allows near instantaneous switching of an individual subscriber's bandwidth from downstream to upstream, allowing much faster upstream. 

“Calix has been the leader in coming to market with Gfast breakthroughs, enabled by our [SDN] AXOS platform," is the kind of statement I usually ignore because I have no way to verify it. There are probably as many claims of best SDN as there are makers of SDN software. I can confirm that AXOS looks very practical after the presentations at the Calix press event. 

The stock was clobbered because of a bad result last quarter. A cost overrun in a turnkey deployment hurt earnings. There are many things going right for the company: Verizon is working with their NGPON2, their rural customers are spending more, and they have more deployments of G.fast than anyone else.

They have a very strong technical team and CEO Carl Russo is the best salesman in the business. 

 

Calix Extends Gfast Leadership; Leverages AXOS to Introduce Industry’s First 48-Port, Amendment 3 Solutions

 

Next generation solutions being trialed in a Tier 1 network today dramatically transform Gfast deployment economics in MDUs by tripling subscriber density and doubling broadband speeds

 

BERLIN – October 23, 2017 – Calix, Inc. (NYSE: CALX), the world leader in Subscriber Driven Intelligent Access, today announced the latest addition to its industry-leading AXOS Gfastfamily with the introduction of the groundbreaking E3-48F Gfast Remote Node (sealed DPU) and E5-48F Gfast Node, the industry’s first 48-port, Amendment 3 solutions. Introducing these next generation Gfast solutions and beginning trials in a Tier 1 lab at this pace is only possible due to the speed of development that AXOS enables through its anyPHY™ hardware abstracted architecture. The AXOS E3-48F and E5-48F redefine both the performance and economics of Gfast deployment, especially in larger MDUs where old wiring has historically meant a sub-par subscriber experience. These latest Calix AXOS Gfast systems allow service providers to take advantage of a core tenet of Gfast Amendment 3, 212 MHz support, which doubles broadband speedsover copper and, when deployed with Calix cDTA and bonding technologies, delivers symmetrical speeds of up to 2 Gbps to subscribers. Industry-leading port densities that are three times that of competitive solutions dramatically reduce costs per port, while vectoring for up to 96 ports without the need for an external VCP further enhance scalability and deployment economics.

“The gigabit experience is fast becoming table stakes for service providers to capture and retain broadband-savvy subscribers. As such, service providers must find a way to deliver this experience, no matter where a subscriber is located," said Teresa Mastrangelo, founder and principal analyst at Broadbandtrends. "With the introduction of the new Calix solutions that support Gfast Amendment 3, service providers now have a more streamlined and economical approach to meeting these demands for subscribers in MDU locations and differentiating themselves through a consistent service offering across copper and fiber.”

With more people living in MDUs relative to other housing environments, MDUs represent a significant opportunity for service providers, as well as a significant challenge. There is a wide variety of variables when bringing broadband service to MDUs from wiring to building size to environmental differences, but Calix AXOS Gfast solutions provide a way for service providers to standardize on one technology for every scenario. Through AXOS, service providers can take advantage of an unparalleled time-to-market advantage through accelerated system installation and Always On capabilities that simplify operations and eliminate maintenance windows. By dramatically reducing the length of the prolonged and costly deployment cycle needed for fiber, today’s AXOS Gfast installations can be done in a matter of days, sometimes even hours.

“Calix has been the leader in coming to market with Gfast breakthroughs, enabled by our AXOS platform, from the first Gfast-bonded solution through the groundbreaking cDTA functionality which was demonstrated at last year's Broadband World Forum, and now the industry's first 48-port solution with Amendment 3 capabilities," said Shane Eleniak, Calix vice president of systems products. "Each of these advancements has been focused on enabling service providers to deliver an unmatched broadband experience to all subscribers, even those living in older buildings fed by copper. With the E3-48F and E5-48F, we are taking a big step forward in allowing our customers to have a competitive advantage in every deployment scenario. We are proud that global service providers recognized Calix Gfast solutions as the best in the world and the world’s only software defined access platform, AXOS, will ensure that we remain at the top."

See the new AXOS E3-48F and E5-48F on display both this week at Broadband World Forum in Berlin in Booth #A119 and next week at Calix ConneXions in Las Vegas.

The Site for gfast 230
 

G.fast News
A remarkable 400 people attended the very strong Broadband Forum BASE events in Berlin and Las Vegas. Trevor confirmed BT would pass the million this year. Cioffi projected “Waveguide DSL” could carry 10 gigabits a kilometer as well as a terabit 100 meters. Werner sees a 4X improvement in upstream with cDTA. Much more in next issue.

Deutsche Wants a Gigabit, Finally Realizes 50 Meg Isn't Enough http://bit.ly/2zeZ5oZ
Deutsche Telekom is finally realizing that 50 megabit DSL won't make it against gigabit cable. VP Franz Seiser is blunt. "We must change radically, become disruptive and, above all, throw away things," he proclaims at BBWF. After years of DT insisting 50 megabits is plenty, we now hear "it is about Gigabit products" from DT's Robert Soukup.  
    A lucky building in Frankfurt will receive 500+ megabit service as ultra-conservative Deutsche Telekom experiments with G.fast. Soukup told BBWF, "We're going to have a field test in Frankfurt with G.fast and Fiber To The Building (FTTB.) We will know by the end of the year if this is the right way to go." Hint to Soukup: Yes it is. G.fast is working well at a dozen telcos I;ve talked to.
     The details are surprising. DT is going for CORD, Open Source, Calix, and Radisys. http://bit.ly/2zeZ5oZ

*** The new Telebyte Guide to Testing Gfast follows the Broadband Forum IR-337 Gfast test specification, the same used by the University of New Hampshire (UNH-IOL) for Gfast certification testing. Free download http://bit.ly/telebyte (ad) It is the best technical guide to G.fast  I have seen. Grab it. Dave

1.6 Gig in Sckipio-Calix Test http://bit.ly/Calix16
A telco tells me they are getting impressive early results from the Calix 48 port DSLAM with the new Sckipio 212 MHz chips. There still is work to do but this is encouraging. 
    Carriers want DSLAMs with more than 16 ports to reduce the deployment costs from the basement or larger field cabinets. Speed matters to the marketing side of the company; AT&T's CEO believes he must offer a true gigabit to match cable. (They've been getting ~750 megabits with first generation chips. http://bit.ly/Calix16

*** Self-Healing Wi-Fi With ASSIA Real-Q 
Beyond-the-Box visibility and control extends quality-of-experience (QoE) beyond the gateway to the end-user device for every device in the home. Based on ASSIA technology, proven across 80 million subscribers http://bit.ly/2dj7FJk (ad)

Reverse Power 4 Port DSLAM for Australia http://bit.ly/NetcommRP
Australia is connecting 1M homes to G.fast, some with a Netcomm distribution point mini-DSLAM. It's a small unit designed for pole or pit mounting. It's waterproof, pressure proof, and temperature resistant. Their matching home modem is bittorrent friendly, with two USB ports for a hard drive dedicated to sharing.
     A reverse power unit at the customer, the NDD-0100-01, can save the cost of bringing power to the DSLAM. They don't expect many orders until the second half of 2018, as nbn is waiting for the second generation chips. Netcomm demonstrated RP with BT Openreach in August. http://bit.ly/NetcommRP

*** Sckipio's Three advances are taking G.fast to the next level.http://bit.ly/Sckipio (ad)

Australia Makes it Official: G.fast to Million Plus http://bit.ly/GFAussie
No news here. In September, 2015, I reported Australia's nbn Going G.fast. This June. I reported the million home fiber to the curb (kerb?) was beginning. Unfortunately, they are no closer to figuring out where to find the needed $10B to $20B to cover the cost overruns. Instead, the parties are battling in Parliament about who is to blame. http://bit.ly/GFAussie

2 Bonded 212 Lines = 3 Gigabitshttp://bit.ly/twobonded
Sckipio at BBWF is demonstrating 3 gigabits down, nearly a gigabit up, over two phone lines, bonded. Twice the bandwidth (212 MHz instead of 106 MHz) times two lines is fast. Sckipio does great demos; at CES, they showed G.fast first generation chips delivering almost 1 gig upstream.
    “Sckipio is pushing Gfast to astonishing speeds with production silicon,” CEO David Baum proclaims. Calix is using the SCK23000 chipset in their 48 port gig+ DSLAM at the show. http://bit.ly/twobonded

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