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gfast map nov

Dark Green: Firm commitments from incumbent: BT (10M), Belgacom, Australian NBN, Swisscom,  Austria, Bezeq Israel, Chunghwa Taiwan, Telus Canada, Telekom South Africa, SK Korea, (U.S.) AT&T, Century, Frontier, Windstream, Belgium, Omantel

Mid Green: Smaller carriers in Germany, Norway, Finland, Japan

Light Green: Incumbent likely:  France, Germany, 

Alphonzo SamuelsAlphonzo Samuels of Telkom South Africa has just added G.fast to his very extensive toolkit. Samuels said at BBWF he needed to offer European quality service in some of his regions and also reach vast areas that have no electricity. They have world class tech companies like Ubuntu and Dimension Data and luxury flats in the major cities. Folks like that demand and usually get the best.

Three years ago, Samuels told me he expected to use fiber home, G.fast, and vectoring in different areas. Only fiber home has been announced. They have now demonstrated G.Fast to an office complex in Pinelands and announced a wider deployment later this year. The volume should be substantial; Nokia projects SA will "soon join the top 10 companies worldwide deploying the technology." They've released no estimates of how many and when.

South Africa's income distribution is the most unequal of the 154 countries tracked by the World Bank. (Gini coefficient 63.) Their $11,000 per capita income is the second highest on the African continent except for oil producers. That's deceptive, with the majority of the population extremely poor. That's very disappointing 20 years after majority rule.

Nokia was very glad to get even a small win at Frontier, Connecticut. The company passes 14M U.S. homes, but is struggling. Alcatel and Lucent were once the U.S. leaders, but Calix and especially Adtran have been winning most contracts lately. Nokia may be winning back some market share in Germany, another good sign.

Unfortunately, Frontier is in desperate financial shape. The stock has gone down from $4.59 to $1.16 a share in the last year. They've lost money the last two years and will have another dividend cut. They really needed to drop the dividend the last few years and put the money into building a competitive network. (Easy to say in hindsight.) CTO Steve Gable has a tough problem. He needs to rebuild but the company can't bring capital spending even up to the level of depreciation.

Customers losses are enormous, both to cable and wireless. Charter's basic service is now 70 megabits down and other cablecos at least 50 meg. All four wireless companies offer "unlimited" wireless, with a soft cap. At least three will offer GiG LTE this year, probably only in limited areas.I doubt even half of Frontier's lines can support 20 megabits down. They mostly release "up to" speeds, so I have no hard data.

That said, the $1.3B market cap is very low for a company with almost $9B in sales. The price only makes sense if there is a high chance of bankruptcy in the next few years. That debt maturity schedule should continue to protect them for several years. I do not pick stocks, but note that the shares may be down so low it looks like up. Careful!

 I just added Oman and South Africa to the Gfast map. 

 

Nokia and Openserve successfully conduct G.fast trial to provide higher-speed broadband to more customers sooner

  • Nokia's innovative G.fast technology allows Telkom to offer fiber-like speeds to more customers, more quickly by leveraging existing copper deployments in typical Multi-Dwelling-Units, without the need for any further fiber deployments within such buildings.
  • Cape Town, South Africa -  Nokia and Telkom South Africa's wholesale division Openserve have successfully conducted a trial of G.fast technology in an office complex in Pinelands, South Africa, reaching fiber-like speeds over existing copper infrastructure as deployed in buildings. This trial is a dry-run for Openserve's commercial deployment of G.fast later this year, meaning it will soon join the top 10 companies worldwide deploying the technology, part of its drive to rapidly expand its footprint across South Africa.

    The results of the trial demonstrated an aggregate bandwidth (upstream and downstream) of 900Mb/s on short copper loops, and speeds of 500Mb/s downstream and 250Mb/s upstream on an existing copper line at a distance of 150m.

    Nokia's G.fast technology uses the last few hundred meters of existing copper located in a building to deliver ultra-broadband access to customers, and it will allow Openserve to meet demands for fiber-like broadband speeds without significantly increasing operational cost.  The built-in vectoring technology reduces cross-talk interference between copper lines, hence improving data speeds.

    G.fast technology is increasingly being used in areas that are cumbersome to reach with fiber, allowing operators to deploy fiber-to-the building instead of each individual apartment unit - the most expensive and time-consuming part of a fiber-to-the-home deployment. As G.fast uses existing copper lines, it reduces disruption and lowers the barriers with home owners in multiple-dwelling complexes and home owner associations for granting permissions to upgrade infrastructure on their properties.

    Openserve CEO Alphonzo Samuels said: "We completed testing Nokia's G.fast technology in our labs, and are extremely pleased with the results. G.fast provides us with a great alternative in scenarios where the length of the copper tail is 150m or less. Moreover, the business case is convincing. With G.fast, we have found a way to maximize the usage of some of our existing network infrastructure, while avoiding any disruption or possible harm to the aesthetics of the real estate. Nokia is our long-term innovation partner, and we take pride in continuing down that path, bringing more high-speed broadband services to citizens and business customers in South Africa."

    Daniel Jaeger, head of Central, East and West Africa at Nokia, said: "This is one of the first G.fast trials worldwide, and we are proud to be a part of it. Service providers are grappling with different technologies to meet the ever-growing demand for high-speed internet, and this innovative solution allows them to use existing infrastructure to cater to market demand. G.fast offers the unique combination of fiber-like speeds with very limited additional investment needed, low-hassle deployments, and faster return-on-investment.'

    Nokia is the industry leader in G.fast technology with more than 40  individual customer trials completed and 10 customers commercially deploying around the world, including Openreach Chunghwa Telecom A1 Telekom Austria Energia Communicationsand Frontier.

    Did you know?

  • G.fast - the ITU-T's G.9701 specification - was approved in December 2014 and is designed to provide gigabit broadband connection speeds over a single twisted pair cable in existing copper infrastructure.
  • Nokia's G.fast allows service providers to offe
  • Nokia and Frontier Communications deploy G.fast technology to expand gigabit ultra-broadband access across Connecticut

  • Nokia G.fast technology enables Frontier to quickly roll out fiber-like speeds to customers living in apartment buildings and deliver new IPTV and data service packages
  • Norwalk, US - Nokia and Frontier Communications will deploy G.fast technology to increase in-building broadband speeds for customers living in apartment and multi-dwelling units (MDU) across Connecticut.

    Part of a state-wide network expansion initiative, Frontier will use Nokia's G.fast technology to quickly bring fiber-like speeds to customers without having to install new, in-building fiber infrastructure. With built-in vectoring technology - which reduces cross-talk interference that typically impacts data speeds over copper networks - the Nokia G.fast solution will allow Frontier to use the last few hundred meters of existing copper located in buildings to deliver ultra-broadband access to customers.

    Nokia's G.fast technology enables Frontier to complement its extensive fiber network footprint and rapidly deploy fiber to the basement of an apartment building instead of each individual apartment unit. Leveraging Software Defined Network (SDN) capabilities and compliant with NetConf and Yang models, Nokia's G.fast solution also enables Frontier to accelerate G.fast deployments by automating the management process and simplifying provisioning models.

    Steve Gable, Frontier EVP and Chief Technology Officer said: "Nokia's field-proven G.fast solution will help Frontier quickly bring ultra-broadband access to customers by using the existing copper twisted pair wiring that is often found in apartment buildings. Without it, we'd have to drill holes and pull fiber into each apartment unit we serve, a time consuming and challenging process that can be frustrating for customers. Nokia's solution allows us to deliver new enhanced services without ever having to enter the place of residence."

    Federico Guillén, president of Nokia's Fixed Networks Business Group, said: "It's no secret that multi-technology strategies which maximize the use of both fiber and copper are effective in helping operators quickly role out new ultra-broadband services. This is particularly true in some cases like inside an apartment building, where more traditional Fiber-to-the-Home strategies can be very challenging to deploy. With the advancements that have been made in today's copper technologies, operators can now offer fiber-like speeds to enhance the way customers experience their broadband services. As market leaders in copper and fiber technologies, Nokia has the experience it takes to deliver these multi-technology broadband networks."

    Nokia is the industry leader in G.fast technology, with more than 40  individual customer trials completed and 10 customers commercially deploying around the world, including Openreach Chunghwa Telecom A1 Telekom Austria and Energia Communications .

    With new technology innovations, such as XG-FAST, Nokia remains committed to providing operators with a wide range of copper technologies essential to meet growing end-customer demand for gigabit services.

     

    The Site for gfast 230
     

    G.fast News
    A remarkable 400 people attended the very strong Broadband Forum BASE events in Berlin and Las Vegas. Trevor confirmed BT would pass the million this year. Cioffi projected “Waveguide DSL” could carry 10 gigabits a kilometer as well as a terabit 100 meters. Werner sees a 4X improvement in upstream with cDTA. Much more in next issue.

    Deutsche Wants a Gigabit, Finally Realizes 50 Meg Isn't Enough http://bit.ly/2zeZ5oZ
    Deutsche Telekom is finally realizing that 50 megabit DSL won't make it against gigabit cable. VP Franz Seiser is blunt. "We must change radically, become disruptive and, above all, throw away things," he proclaims at BBWF. After years of DT insisting 50 megabits is plenty, we now hear "it is about Gigabit products" from DT's Robert Soukup.  
        A lucky building in Frankfurt will receive 500+ megabit service as ultra-conservative Deutsche Telekom experiments with G.fast. Soukup told BBWF, "We're going to have a field test in Frankfurt with G.fast and Fiber To The Building (FTTB.) We will know by the end of the year if this is the right way to go." Hint to Soukup: Yes it is. G.fast is working well at a dozen telcos I;ve talked to.
         The details are surprising. DT is going for CORD, Open Source, Calix, and Radisys. http://bit.ly/2zeZ5oZ

    *** The new Telebyte Guide to Testing Gfast follows the Broadband Forum IR-337 Gfast test specification, the same used by the University of New Hampshire (UNH-IOL) for Gfast certification testing. Free download http://bit.ly/telebyte (ad) It is the best technical guide to G.fast  I have seen. Grab it. Dave

    1.6 Gig in Sckipio-Calix Test http://bit.ly/Calix16
    A telco tells me they are getting impressive early results from the Calix 48 port DSLAM with the new Sckipio 212 MHz chips. There still is work to do but this is encouraging. 
        Carriers want DSLAMs with more than 16 ports to reduce the deployment costs from the basement or larger field cabinets. Speed matters to the marketing side of the company; AT&T's CEO believes he must offer a true gigabit to match cable. (They've been getting ~750 megabits with first generation chips. http://bit.ly/Calix16

    *** Self-Healing Wi-Fi With ASSIA Real-Q 
    Beyond-the-Box visibility and control extends quality-of-experience (QoE) beyond the gateway to the end-user device for every device in the home. Based on ASSIA technology, proven across 80 million subscribers http://bit.ly/2dj7FJk (ad)

    Reverse Power 4 Port DSLAM for Australia http://bit.ly/NetcommRP
    Australia is connecting 1M homes to G.fast, some with a Netcomm distribution point mini-DSLAM. It's a small unit designed for pole or pit mounting. It's waterproof, pressure proof, and temperature resistant. Their matching home modem is bittorrent friendly, with two USB ports for a hard drive dedicated to sharing.
         A reverse power unit at the customer, the NDD-0100-01, can save the cost of bringing power to the DSLAM. They don't expect many orders until the second half of 2018, as nbn is waiting for the second generation chips. Netcomm demonstrated RP with BT Openreach in August. http://bit.ly/NetcommRP

    *** Sckipio's Three advances are taking G.fast to the next level.http://bit.ly/Sckipio (ad)

    Australia Makes it Official: G.fast to Million Plus http://bit.ly/GFAussie
    No news here. In September, 2015, I reported Australia's nbn Going G.fast. This June. I reported the million home fiber to the curb (kerb?) was beginning. Unfortunately, they are no closer to figuring out where to find the needed $10B to $20B to cover the cost overruns. Instead, the parties are battling in Parliament about who is to blame. http://bit.ly/GFAussie

    2 Bonded 212 Lines = 3 Gigabitshttp://bit.ly/twobonded
    Sckipio at BBWF is demonstrating 3 gigabits down, nearly a gigabit up, over two phone lines, bonded. Twice the bandwidth (212 MHz instead of 106 MHz) times two lines is fast. Sckipio does great demos; at CES, they showed G.fast first generation chips delivering almost 1 gig upstream.
        “Sckipio is pushing Gfast to astonishing speeds with production silicon,” CEO David Baum proclaims. Calix is using the SCK23000 chipset in their 48 port gig+ DSLAM at the show. http://bit.ly/twobonded

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