Dark blue: 
Firm commitments from incumbent: BT (10M), Belgacom, Swisscom,                                          Ad from Sckipio
Austria, Bezeq Israel, Chunghwa Taiwan, Korea SK, (U.S.) Century & Windstream
Light blue: Smaller carriers: Canada, Germany, Norway, Finland, Japan
Green: Incumbent likely: France, Germany, Australia, Poland & Panama                                    
Below: Country by country details. 

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Fleming007impressionGigabit required to keep up with cable. It's in the standard, but until recently everyone assumed it would be delayed for lack of customer demand. But with gigabit cable coming close, AT&T is pressing for a gigabit over DSL. Adtran, a major supplier to AT&T and Deutsche Telekom, has proven that can easily exceed a gigabit downstream by bonding two lines. It's just a lab demonstration for now without a timetable for field trials. vectoring and pre-coding require serious processing power to keep up with the high speeds. Bonding for even higher speeds is a challenge, but Adtran CTO Kevin Schneider doesn't see any obstacles that will prevent practical deployment. 

ITU's early press release promised a gigabit from but real speeds are currently 400-700 megabits. Cablecos Videotron and Suddenlink are beginning deployments of a gigabit (shared) over DOCSIS 3.0. Comcast and Cox have a prohibitively expensive ($700+) fiber gigabit home that today is a pr stunt. Both tell me that they expect DOCSIS 3.1 to inexpensively achieve a gigabit by late 2016.

The business side hasn't decided how to price the high speeds. A gigabit over DOCSIS 3.1 only costs between $1 and $3/month more than a 10 megabit cable line. With competition weak, I expect a much higher consumer price, however. Sharing cable works remarkably well; a shared gigabit will deliver 500+ megabits to any home that needs it 95+% of the time. 

Paul Spruyt of Alcatel predicted bonding in an interview almost two years ago. 




Often interesting

Upperside rectangle

BT: performance "pretty much spot on"
DSM Could Increase Speeds 25-50+ Megabit
DT: No 35b VDSL before 2018, modems not available
AT&T confirmed (unofficially.)
Andrew Ferguson: DSLAMs can be different
Energia Selling Nokia in Japan
Calix Clobbered by Services Cost
Switzerland: We're going; Forget fiber home except in new builds 
Nokia takes XG-FAST to 8 gig in the lab at nbn 
Huawei jumping in to G.faster 
Paris Summit 2017 9 to 11 May will be a great show
100,000 modems sold by Technicolor - running VDSL Australia: 
700,000 "FTTdp homes." Should use but may go VDSL. 
Tens of millions lines predicted 
"Study" predicts $200/line chip price in 2022 !? 

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