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Gfast map July 2017

Dark blue: Firm commitments from incumbent: BT (10M), Belgacom, Australian NBN, Swisscom,  Austria, Bezeq Israel, Chunghwa Taiwan, Telus Canada, Telekom South Africa, SK Korea, (U.S.) AT&T, Century, Frontier, Windstream, Belgium, Omantel

Light blue: Smaller carriers in Germany, Norway, Finland, Japan

Green: Incumbent likely:  France, Germany, & Poland  

Ikanos artwork.320x122jpg

Promises Ikanos chips will be better by yearend 2015. The CEO of Ikanos of course will claim his chips are the best. Tahernia did this in an interesting way, introducing what he calls "second generation" G.fast chips.

What's the difference? Ikanos intends to sample later this year chips that offer: "true gigabit performance," power requirement "broadly deployable" and "backward compatibility with existing VDSL services"

The plan is alpha samples to selected customers in q3 and marketing in q4. We'll be able to determine whether they met these goals when others can test these chips. One customer is convinced: Alcatel has invested $12M.

Ikanos' financial issues are well known in the industry.

They do an excellent job presenting finances clearly in their investor call.

Here are the key comments via Seeking Alpha and the financial release.

There are several key attributes missing in these first generation products that will prevent wide scale adoption such as true gigabit performance, a broadly deployable power profile and backward compatibility with existing VDSL services to name a few.

This is the area in which Ikanos has made significant investments to ensure our gigabit product roadmap needs all of the critical features needed who broad carrier adoption taking into account all of the practical challenges associated with carrier deployments. Whether it’s qualifying a subscriber’s home network for gigabit service, minimizing the cost of new gateway installation or ensuring the best end-to-end ultra-broadband services, Ikanos gateway, access and inSIGHT software products are uniquely designed to address all of the carriers' deployment concerns.

During the first quarter, we achieved important development milestones in our gigabit product road map that will allow us to introduce our second generation G.fast product to the market in the fourth quarter of this year with alpha customers expected to receive samples in the third quarter.

Ikanos Communications Announces Results for First Quarter 2015

[To view a PDF of this press release including financial tables, click here]

First Quarter Highlights

  • http://www.ikanos.com/wp-content/themes/ikanos/images/bluedot.jpg) 0% 0% no-repeat;">Revenue of $10.2 million
  • http://www.ikanos.com/wp-content/themes/ikanos/images/bluedot.jpg) 0% 0% no-repeat;">GAAP net loss of $(12.0) million, or $(0.77) per share
  • http://www.ikanos.com/wp-content/themes/ikanos/images/bluedot.jpg) 0% 0% no-repeat;">Ending cash and cash equivalents of $13.0 million

FREMONT, Calif., May 4, 2015 — Ikanos Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ: IKAN), a leading provider of advanced broadband semiconductor and software products for the connected home, today announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2015, ended March 29, 2015.

“First quarter revenue was $10.2 million, with a GAAP gross profit of 49%, which due to a favorable product mix exceeded our gross-profit guidance,” said Dennis Bencala, CFO of Ikanos. “During the first quarter, we worked to manage our business and cash position, with operating expenses of $16.8 million, and the completion of a common stock rights offering in which the Company raised approximately $12.4 million, before expenses, resulting in a cash and short-term investments of $13.0 million at the end of the first quarter.” Bencala continued, “We also signed the definitive collaboration agreement with Alcatel-Lucent after the quarter closed, allowing us to draw down on the previously agreed-to $10 million loan.”

“I’m pleased to report significant progress in executing our gigabit strategy. We are on track for second-generationG.fast product sample availability to alpha customers in the third quarter,” said Omid Tahernia, president and CEO of Ikanos. “In addition, we achieved a significant milestone in Japan and Korea, establishing Ikanos as the only company that has demonstrated over 1 gigabit performance on copper at a distance of 100 meters in OEM lab testing.”

Tahernia continued, “While the majority of our R&D investment is focused on successful execution of our gigabit strategy, we are also putting significant effort into driving revenue ramp with key customers rolling out new products this year, based on our Vx500 gateway processors, Velocity-3 in China, and inSIGHT software. In the last two years, we have gained significant design win momentum, increasing the life-time value of our design win pipeline by a factor of 10 from 2013 to 2014.  We continued this momentum last quarter by securing two additional gateway opportunities. In addition, as already announced, we have extended the capabilities of our inSIGHT analytics beyond copper networks, thereby significantly expanding inSIGHT’s market opportunity to cover all broadband access. This includes cable and mobile operators, as well as residential fiber deployments.” Tahernia concluded, “While our short-term revenue outlook remains stable, we are optimistic about our future revenue trends, based on new customers’ progress towards production ramp later this year, our established leadership and eco-system partnerships in ultra-broadband, and the significant market interest in our gigabit products and strategy.”

Financial Details
Ikanos reports its financial results in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and additionally on a non-GAAP basis. Non-GAAP net income (loss), non-GAAP gross profits and non-GAAP operating expenses, where applicable, exclude the income statement effects of stock-based compensation and the amortization of intangible assets. Ikanos has provided these measures because its management believes these additional non-GAAP measures are useful to investors for performing financial analysis, as these additional measures highlight Ikanos’ recurring operating results. Ikanos’ management uses these non-GAAP measures internally to evaluate its operating performance and to plan for its future. However, non-GAAP measures are not a substitute for GAAP reporting. For a reconciliation of GAAP versus non-GAAP financial information, please see the attached schedules.

First Quarter 2015 Results
Revenue for the first quarter of 2015 was $10.2 million, compared to revenue of $14.5 million for the first quarter of 2014 and revenue of $11.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2014. GAAP gross profit for the first quarter of 2015 was 49%, which is consistent with GAAP gross profit for the first quarter of 2014 and the fourth quarter of 2014.

Non-GAAP gross profit for the first quarter of 2015 was 50%, which is consistent with non-GAAP gross profit for the first quarter of 2014 and the fourth quarter of 2014.

GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter of 2015 were $16.8 million, compared to operating expenses of $17.5 million for the first quarter of 2014 and operating expenses of $15.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2014.

Non-GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter of 2015 were $15.8 million, compared to non-GAAP operating expenses of $16.5 million for the first quarter of 2014 and non-GAAP operating expenses of $14.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2014.

GAAP net loss for the first quarter of 2015 was $(12.0) million, or a loss of $(0.77) per share on 15.6 million weighted average shares outstanding, compared to a GAAP net loss of $(10.3) million, or $(1.04) per share on 9.9 million weighted average shares outstanding, for the first quarter of 2014 and a GAAP net loss of $(10.4) million, or $(0.75) per share on 13.9 million weighted shares outstanding, for the fourth quarter of 2014.

Non-GAAP net loss for the first quarter of 2015 was $(10.8) million, or a loss of $(0.69) per share on 15.6 million weighted average shares outstanding, compared to a non-GAAP net loss of $(9.2) million, or $(0.93) per share on 9.9 million weighted average shares outstanding, for the first quarter of 2014 and a non-GAAP loss of $(9.3) million, or $(0.67) per share on 13.9 million weighted average shares outstanding, for the fourth quarter of 2014.

Cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments at the end of the first quarter of 2015 were $13.0 million, compared to $15.7 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2014. Our year-end cash included proceeds of $16.3 million from our September 29, 2014 private equity placement. Additionally, at the end of the first quarter of 2015, inventory was $2.1 million, compared to $2.0 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2014. Current liabilities at the end of the first quarter of 2015 were $18.1 million, compared to $22.4 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2014. For both the first quarter of 2015 and fourth quarter of 2014, current liabilities included an accounts receivable-backed revolving line of credit advance of $5.0 million and $10.8 million, respectively.

For a more complete review of our first quarter 2015 results please see the attached financial schedules.

Outlook
Revenue is expected to be between $10.0 million and $12.0 million for the second quarter of 2015.

GAAP gross profit for the second quarter of 2015 is expected to be between 55% and 57%. Non-GAAP gross profit is expected to be between 56% and 58%. GAAP operating expenses for the second quarter of 2015 are expected to be in the range of $17.5 million to $18.5 million. Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be in the range of $16.5 million to $17.5 million. GAAP net loss for the second quarter of 2015 is expected to be in the range of approximately $(10.8) million to $(13.1) million, or a GAAP loss per share of $(0.63) to $(0.76). Non-GAAP net loss is expected to be in the range of approximately $(9.6) million to $(12.0) million, or a non-GAAP loss per share of $(0.56) to $(0.70).

 

The Site for gfast 230
 

G.fast News
A remarkable 400 people attended the very strong Broadband Forum BASE events in Berlin and Las Vegas. Trevor confirmed BT would pass the million this year. Cioffi projected “Waveguide DSL” could carry 10 gigabits a kilometer as well as a terabit 100 meters. Werner sees a 4X improvement in upstream with cDTA. Much more in next issue.

Deutsche Wants a Gigabit, Finally Realizes 50 Meg Isn't Enough http://bit.ly/2zeZ5oZ
Deutsche Telekom is finally realizing that 50 megabit DSL won't make it against gigabit cable. VP Franz Seiser is blunt. "We must change radically, become disruptive and, above all, throw away things," he proclaims at BBWF. After years of DT insisting 50 megabits is plenty, we now hear "it is about Gigabit products" from DT's Robert Soukup.  
    A lucky building in Frankfurt will receive 500+ megabit service as ultra-conservative Deutsche Telekom experiments with G.fast. Soukup told BBWF, "We're going to have a field test in Frankfurt with G.fast and Fiber To The Building (FTTB.) We will know by the end of the year if this is the right way to go." Hint to Soukup: Yes it is. G.fast is working well at a dozen telcos I;ve talked to.
     The details are surprising. DT is going for CORD, Open Source, Calix, and Radisys. http://bit.ly/2zeZ5oZ

*** The new Telebyte Guide to Testing Gfast follows the Broadband Forum IR-337 Gfast test specification, the same used by the University of New Hampshire (UNH-IOL) for Gfast certification testing. Free download http://bit.ly/telebyte (ad) It is the best technical guide to G.fast  I have seen. Grab it. Dave

1.6 Gig in Sckipio-Calix Test http://bit.ly/Calix16
A telco tells me they are getting impressive early results from the Calix 48 port DSLAM with the new Sckipio 212 MHz chips. There still is work to do but this is encouraging. 
    Carriers want DSLAMs with more than 16 ports to reduce the deployment costs from the basement or larger field cabinets. Speed matters to the marketing side of the company; AT&T's CEO believes he must offer a true gigabit to match cable. (They've been getting ~750 megabits with first generation chips. http://bit.ly/Calix16

*** Self-Healing Wi-Fi With ASSIA Real-Q 
Beyond-the-Box visibility and control extends quality-of-experience (QoE) beyond the gateway to the end-user device for every device in the home. Based on ASSIA technology, proven across 80 million subscribers http://bit.ly/2dj7FJk (ad)

Reverse Power 4 Port DSLAM for Australia http://bit.ly/NetcommRP
Australia is connecting 1M homes to G.fast, some with a Netcomm distribution point mini-DSLAM. It's a small unit designed for pole or pit mounting. It's waterproof, pressure proof, and temperature resistant. Their matching home modem is bittorrent friendly, with two USB ports for a hard drive dedicated to sharing.
     A reverse power unit at the customer, the NDD-0100-01, can save the cost of bringing power to the DSLAM. They don't expect many orders until the second half of 2018, as nbn is waiting for the second generation chips. Netcomm demonstrated RP with BT Openreach in August. http://bit.ly/NetcommRP

*** Sckipio's Three advances are taking G.fast to the next level.http://bit.ly/Sckipio (ad)

Australia Makes it Official: G.fast to Million Plus http://bit.ly/GFAussie
No news here. In September, 2015, I reported Australia's nbn Going G.fast. This June. I reported the million home fiber to the curb (kerb?) was beginning. Unfortunately, they are no closer to figuring out where to find the needed $10B to $20B to cover the cost overruns. Instead, the parties are battling in Parliament about who is to blame. http://bit.ly/GFAussie

2 Bonded 212 Lines = 3 Gigabitshttp://bit.ly/twobonded
Sckipio at BBWF is demonstrating 3 gigabits down, nearly a gigabit up, over two phone lines, bonded. Twice the bandwidth (212 MHz instead of 106 MHz) times two lines is fast. Sckipio does great demos; at CES, they showed G.fast first generation chips delivering almost 1 gig upstream.
    “Sckipio is pushing Gfast to astonishing speeds with production silicon,” CEO David Baum proclaims. Calix is using the SCK23000 chipset in their 48 port gig+ DSLAM at the show. http://bit.ly/twobonded

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