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Gfast map July 2017

Dark blue: Firm commitments from incumbent: BT (10M), Belgacom, Australian NBN, Swisscom,  Austria, Bezeq Israel, Chunghwa Taiwan, Telus Canada, Telekom South Africa, SK Korea, (U.S.) AT&T, Century, Frontier, Windstream, Belgium, Omantel

Light blue: Smaller carriers in Germany, Norway, Finland, Japan

Green: Incumbent likely:  France, Germany, & Poland  

Bugatti Veyron by Huntster'10 Gbps, yikes!" writes a senior engineer after reading my story about 10 gig homes in Hong Kong. "Do the customers with 10 Gbps access also own a 1001 Horsepower Bugatti Veryon car?  I wish someone would do a blind scientific study of the highest access bit-rate for which 99.5% of customers could not perceive any improvement in service.  Of course, speed-test would have to be disabled.  At some point, the speed will be limited by other factors: application software, LAN, performance of the customer device, server capacity, or the customer’s visual cortex.  Seriously, how fast can you drink from a fire-hose? 

Another fascinating statistic would be the highest data rate actually consumed by customers who have an access service with 200 Mb/s or more.  This does not mean that marketing higher bit rates is wrong; after all there is a proven market for cars with more than 400 Horsepower." Talking to a reporter could be "career limiting" at the gentleman's company.

What presumably happened in Hong Kong is the vendor (?Huawei) offered PCCW a great deal on 10 gig equipment in order to create a model deployment. Now that the chips for 10 gig are shipping, 10 gig doesn't have to be that much more expensive than 1 gig.

1 gig is becoming the usual speed on new networks because today there is little difference in cost between 1 gig and 100 megabits. There'd be a natural $20-60 premium for 10 gig gear but prices are negotiable.

In Korea for the ITU Plenipot, I asked a dozen officials what Koreans are doing with the gigabit service they are getting? Most avoided the question. A few said, "I don't know." The best answer was, "They buy the gigabit for prestige."

At the same event, a Korean telco had a display of their 10 gigabit system, soon come. 


212 GHz and cDTA are soon shipping from Adtran. True gigabit is here. Sales takeoff is almost in sight, probably Q1 2018.
Australia confirms 1M, AT&T is ready to ramp, DT finally is moving. Omantel and Telkom South Africa are now on the map. Almost all telcos are now choosing for large buildings when they don't go FTTH. MNet Cologne and Chunghwa Taiwan have changed from fiber all the way to in the basement.

212 MHz and cDTA Are Ready: Adtran
Frank Miller of Century: Will be Important to Us

Carl Russo: Since 2007, I've Been Turning Calix Into a Software Company

Adtran Chosen for Australia nbn Fiber to the curb.

nbn looking to a million lines. This one is big. Adtran is on a roll, with DT & AT&T also looking good for 2018.

1,400,000,000 In The Works. 1.4 Gigabits
South Africa & Connecticut Go Nokia

Omantel: 90% Fiber &


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