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Gfast map July 2017

Dark blue: Firm commitments from incumbent: BT (10M), Belgacom, Australian NBN, Swisscom,  Austria, Bezeq Israel, Chunghwa Taiwan, Telus Canada, Telekom South Africa, SK Korea, (U.S.) AT&T, Century, Frontier, Windstream, Belgium, Omantel

Light blue: Smaller carriers in Germany, Norway, Finland, Japan

Green: Incumbent likely:  France, Germany, & Poland  

DT intends to test
in 2014 and deploy it in 2015 WiWo reports. DT needs speed to counter cable, already offering twice DT's speed at the same price. Kabel Deutschland back in 2012 demonstrated 4.7 gigabit cable. KD's CTO, Lorentz Glatz, told me he was hopeful of reaching a gigabit in 2013 or 2014.  

     CTO Jacobfeuerborn, citing Alcatel, believes he will soon get 212 GHz chips that can go to a gigabit. Most others think 200-500 megabits far more likely for early Few expect substantial deployment until 2016-2017. 400 megabit and higher speeds definitely require vectoring at 100 meters, which no one has demonstrated.

   Jacobfeuerborn continues to tell journalists that DT will pass 24 million lines with vectored VDSL by 2016 but the rumor is that DT will stop at 12M. They will upgrade their ADSL lines to vectored VDSL but may leave existing VDSL lines at half the speed. 

    Perhaps more interesting is DT's home gateway that combines VDSL with LTE. DT intends to soon increase the speed of many cell sites to 600 megabits (shared) from the current 150 megabits. They bought 95 MHz of spectrum at auction and can look to easily pass 1 gig per cell in perhaps few years. Very rarely will those cells be congested, so some of that bandwidth can be diverted from mobile to upgrading the speed of home gateways. Keymile already has prototypes. 

212 GHz and cDTA are soon shipping from Adtran. True gigabit is here. Sales takeoff is almost in sight, probably Q1 2018.
Australia confirms 1M, AT&T is ready to ramp, DT finally is moving. Omantel and Telkom South Africa are now on the map. Almost all telcos are now choosing for large buildings when they don't go FTTH. MNet Cologne and Chunghwa Taiwan have changed from fiber all the way to in the basement.

212 MHz and cDTA Are Ready: Adtran
Frank Miller of Century: Will be Important to Us

Carl Russo: Since 2007, I've Been Turning Calix Into a Software Company

Adtran Chosen for Australia nbn Fiber to the curb.

nbn looking to a million lines. This one is big. Adtran is on a roll, with DT & AT&T also looking good for 2018.

1,400,000,000 In The Works. 1.4 Gigabits
South Africa & Connecticut Go Nokia

Omantel: 90% Fiber &


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